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Michael Wild's avatar

Yep, it will be interesting to see if the Republicans make a stand. But I agree with Noah, very good odds would be available for anyone prepared to put money on 4 or more Republicans doing the right thing - even against an isolated target like Kennedy.

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Chris Martin's avatar

"or at least care enough about the electoral effects of a massive measles outbreak, to do more than furrow brows and issue statements."

This part is the important part, and is the only thing the GOP considers. As of July 9th, the measles outbreak had reached 1,288 cases in 38 states. It's the biggest measles outbreak since 1992. Nobody in the Trump administration or the GOP cared about this national disgrace until now because they didn't have a recognizable Democrat they could readily blame for it.

Given that there's a Trump-related scandal/mess/disaster at least once a week, Kennedy's further sullying of his family's name will probably be forgotten by most Americans and the media pretty quickly. Over the weekend, and again this morning there's been some reporting Trump's health potentially being an issue, and I believe the Epstein survivor press conference is tomorrow.

Also, despite the outbreak officially spreading to 38 states, Texas accounts for 762 cases by itself, with Kansas accounting for another 56. Of course, this *is* a national problem because there's already been at least one case in 38 states, and illnessess like measles, COVID, etc. can spread quickly. However, if this does somehow become a political issue, the first person who they'll blame (with assistance from Faux Noise) is Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly. Not because it's logical or because Gov. Kelly has done anything wrong, but because she's a Democrat...and their cultists will eat it up.

I'm quite sure Trump would actually prefer Collins and Cassidy lose. They voted to convict him after his 2nd impeachment. Losing Collins and/or Cassidy's seat really wouldn't make things that much more complicated for Trump. Like McConnell, Majority Leader John Thune's a lot of things but he's not a stupid politician. Unlike the lightweights in the House GOP, he'll keep his caucus in line unless it's in his interest not to do so.

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